Last year, diesel
engines made up 98.5 per cent of the North American Class 8 vehicle market, but
this dominance is forecast to lessen by 2021, claims Americas Commercial
Transportation (ACT) Research and Rhein Associates.
“We
see captive engines gain in market share, as in-house models increase and
displacements are reduced,” said Ken Vieth senior partner of ACT.
“While we don’t expect a complete reversal by
2021, the industry is certainly going through a transition. Diesel dominates,
but the share will narrow, and non-captive engines are likely to decline, barring
any unforeseen circumstances,” Vieth added.
The N.A. On-highway
CV Engine Outlook present historical trends, current activity
and forecasts of engine demand in on-highway commercial vehicles. The report
analyses significant trends in engine displacement, engine type (diesel, gasoline,
natural gas, and other), captive versus non-captive engines, and premium versus
non-premium power for Class 8 vehicles.
“This new report details current and future
OEM offerings, the engine-related regulations in the pipeline and the impact of
these regulations on the market, as well as our forecast for the North American
commercial vehicle engine industry through 2021,” said Tom Rhein, president of
Rhein Associates.
Rhein added, “For instance, the Class 8
production was split 75.5 per cent tractor to 24.5 per cent truck in 2015, but
we expect the truck share to grow as explained in the report.”
“With the impending GHG Phase Two regulations
and growth of vertical integration across the supply chain, and with the
constant push for engine efficiencies and reduced emissions simultaneously, now
seemed like the time to apply our models and expertise collaboratively to
provide intelligence unlike any other available,” added Vieth.
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