Whose voice should we
listen to: the lone voice in the wilderness or vehicle makers preparing to
peddle their wares in years to come?
The
question arises because last Thursday, in Salt Lake City, Nikola Motor Company
unveiled the Nikola One, the world’s first Class 8 hydrogen fuel-cell electric
freight truck.
The full-scale, zero-emission semi-trailer rig
will offer, according to Nikola, a range between 800 and 1,200 miles, and
produce 1,000 bhp, which the company proclaims is “about twice that of an
average diesel truck”. The company also claims it will operate at half the cost
of a comparable diesel truck.
The truck will also feature
regenerative braking, weigh about 2,000 lb less than a diesel truck, and have
2,000 lbft torque, allowing it to accelerate with a full load much faster than
a diesel truck.
In a nutshell, Nikola is saying its
hydrogen-fuelled truck is “lighter, cheaper, and more powerful than a diesel”.
But hang on a minute. Back in the UK,
where the fuel cell was first developed, there is the sound of the lone voice
crying in the wilderness, namely that of Professor David Cebon, director of the Centre for Sustainable Road Freight at Cambridge
University, who was reported as saying “The
use of hydrogen as an alternative fuel is a disaster.
Speaking at the London
headquarters of the SMMT,
Professor Cebon told visitors: “Hydrogen
is a disaster. It’s something that everybody should be saying ‘no,
don’t do this. Don’t spend money on this’.”
Cebon claimed
that 100kWh of generated electricity, once it has
been sent through the national grid to a battery, will provide about 65kWh of
power at the road wheels.
However,
taking the same 100kWh and using it to generate hydrogen, with that hydrogen stored
in a vehicle and run through a fuel cell to create electricity to power the
vehicle, it would translate to just 23kWh at the wheels.
That process, said
Cebon, is “extremely wasteful”.
In May of this year, the
UK government committed £2 million to a fund to encourage more businesses to move to using
hydrogen vehicles. In 2014, it also spent £5 million on
the Hydrogen for Transport Advancement Programme, which funded 12 hydrogen
refuelling stations across the country.
Later, Professor Cebon, bounced back to
respond: “That is not exactly what I said. The sentiment is correct
but the facts aren't quite correct.”
Professor Cebon
explained: “If you take 100kWh of electricity (which is assumed to come from
low carbon sources in future), transmit it via the grid, put it into a battery,
then run an efficient electric vehicle with it, you will end up with about
69kWh energy at the wheels.
He added: “The
route via hydrogen is extremely wasteful, because converting electricity into
hydrogen (by electrolysis) is only about 75 per cent efficient and converting
hydrogen into electricity (in a fuel cell) is only about 50 per cent efficient,
at best.
“There are other
ways to make hydrogen, particularly by steam reforming of methane,” he
commented. “However, unless there is a viable Carbon Capture and Storage scheme
to sequester the CO2 (the UK Government cancelled CCS research in 2015), the
total greenhouse gas emissions are just as bad as burning the methane directly
in gas engines (which are commercially available now). The latter are about 43
per cent efficient, compared to 29 per cent for methane-via hydrogen-to
electricity.”
“So the only way
that hydrogen can possibly make sense from an energy viewpoint requires CCS as
a per-requisite. That doesn't look like it is going to happen any time soon,”
he concluded, noting: “The best strategy to reduce GHG emissions and energy
cost is simply to use electricity to charge the batteries of electric vehicles.
Forget the hydrogen.”
A British invention
Francis Thomas Bacon, who died in
1992, was an English engineer who developed the first practical hydrogen–oxygen fuel cell.
Bacon, a direct descendant of Francis Bacon, became an apprentice (after first
obtaining a degree from Cambridge) with the Newcastle engineering firm owned by Sir Charles Parsons and was strongly influenced by him.
The principle of the fuel cell
had been demonstrated by Sir William
Grove in 1839 and other
investigators have experimented with various forms of fuel cell. However unlike
previous workers in the field, Bacon being an engineer and comfortable working
with machinery operating at high temperatures and pressures,
initially experimented with Grove's use of activated platinum gauze with a sulphuric acid electrolyte, but quickly moved on to
use activated nickel electrodes with an aqueous potassium hydroxide electrolyte.
In January 1940, he developed a
double cell, with one unit for generating the hydrogen and oxygen gases and the
other for the fuel cell proper. This could be reversed so that it acted as both
an electrolyser and a fuel cell. Problems were encountered due to the high
operating temperatures and pressures and the corrosive nature of the chemicals.
Work progressed from 1946 under
various funding arrangements to the point that by 1959, using support from
Marshall of Cambridge Ltd. (later Marshall
Aerospace) a 5kW forty-cell
battery, with an operating efficiency of 60 per cent, was demonstrated
publicly.
The patents for the fuel cell were licensed by Pratt and Whitney as part of a
successful bid to provide electrical power for Project Apollo. The fuel cells were
ideal in this regard because they could achieve rising levels of efficiency
with decreasing load (unlike heat engines). Hydrogen and
oxygen gases were already on board the spacecraft for propulsion and life
support and the by-product water could be used for drinking and humidifying the
atmosphere of the capsule.
Technical
details lacking
Fast forward to Salt Lake City in early December and we find
that US Xpress Enterprises of Chattanooga, and Tennessee’s biggest trucking carrier is
set to go along with the Nikola Motors’ electric vehicle and which it will
introduce into some of its fleet. This will happen in the next three to five
years.
It seems US Xpress Enterprises is attracted to
the idea of electric heavy-duty commercial vehicles. It has agreed to test some
of the first new electric articulated commercials to be built by the new truck
manufacturing company, Nikola Motor Company.
Trevor Milton, a 34-year-old entrepreneur and chief
executive officer and founder of Nikola Motor Company, is a very ambitious man.
He wants to be instrumental in revamping North America’s trucking industry by
replacing diesel engines with hydrogen fuel and battery-powered electric
motors. And thereby presumably putting many diesel-making jobs on the line! There
are an estimated 15 million articulated commercial vehicles on the road in North
America and Milton is aiming to replace many of them.
The company says it will begin
delivering its ground-breaking vehicles in 2020, partnering with Fitzgerald to
build the first 5,000 vehicles. It will start work on its own production
facility next year, and claims that after that it will be able to build 50,000
trucks a year.
To achieve his goals, Milton said he plans to
build a $1 billion factory to assemble the new Nikola One electric-powered
trucks within the next five years. But the initial models are expected to be
built in Tennessee, and some of the first will be driven by U.S. Xpress
drivers.
Interestingly, as with many US vehicle
launches or ‘reveals’, Press interest focused more on the detail design of
headlights, the comfort of cab interiors, or the instrument cluster
arrangement. As to the finer technical details of how Nikola will handle fuel
cell design, manufacture and sourcing little, if anything, bubbles to the
surface. Technology details are something Milton likes to keep close to his
chest until the moment he needs to reveal. As to hydrogen sourcing, some
details are forthcoming.
Limited and scattered
According to Nikola Motors, the company will solve that problem through
vertical integration, producing and distributing its own hydrogen. The company
will deploy 364 hydrogen stations across the US and Canada, which Milton claims will
be completed within 10 years.
That appears to be just one of
several ways the company is shadowing Elon Musk’s Tesla Motors. Reports suggest
Milton took the company’s name from 19th century innovator Nikola Tesla.
Nikola Motor Company was launched in
only May of this year, but Milton says he has been working in “stealth mode”
for years to perfect its products. The Nikola One showcased last week was,
according to reporters on-site, fully functional.
Nikola Motors claims to have over
7,000 reservations for trucks giving a value of US$2.3 billion. However,
these funds are derived from refundable
$1,500 reservations. In addition to the Nikola One, Nikola Motors is also
promising to produce the smaller Nikola Two short-haul tractor unit, and the
Nikola Zero electric off-road vehicle.
Meanwhile, another enthusiast, chairman and chief
executive officer of US Xpress Enterprises, Max Fuller, who founded U.S. Xpress
30 years ago, said his company has been a pioneer in testing new satellite
communications, aerodynamic wind resistance designs and vehicle safety systems
over the past three decades.
"Any time there are new technologies in
the market that we think will be a game changer, we try to participate with the
manufacturers that are coming to the market and try to help them understand
what's needed in our industry," Fuller has told reporters.
"We probably have eight to 10
technologies on our trucks today that no more than two or three other companies
are running because we want to stay ahead in our industry.”
So, who do you believe? Professor Cebon or Messrs
Milton and Miller? Not to mention the car makers busy with their hydrogen fuel cell programmes.
Meanwhile, exactly, a year ago, Audi unveiled the hi-tron Quattro concept car at the NAIAS 2016 in Detroit
– a sporty SUV that uses hydrogen as its energy source.
Audi then said: "The concept car combines
a highly efficient fuel cell achieving an output of up to 110 kW with a battery
that provides a temporary boost of 100 kW. Audi’s fuel cell technology paves
the way for sustainable mobility with the sporty performance for which the
brand is renowned.
The Audi claimed the “hi-tron quattro concept
uses only around one kilogram (2.2 lb) of hydrogen per 100 kilometers (62.1
mi). It takes only about four minutes to fill the tank, giving the car a range
of up to 600 kilometers (372.8 mi). The conspicuously aerodynamic design with a
Cd value of 0.27 plays a major part in its outstanding efficiency."
Others in the hydrogen 'race' include: BW,
Daimler, Fiat, Ford, General Motors, Honda, Hyundai, Kia, Mazda, Nissan,
Renault, Toyota, Volkswagen and, the UK’s Riversimple.
And is this the moment when Cummins’ executive in Columbus, Indiana should start
worrying?
1 comment:
In this calculations are no emissions included. In China more that 80 % of their powerplant for producing electricity are driven by fossile sources as oil and coal. Using this dirty electricity is more or less a giant shoot in our own foot.
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