The extent of the woe
experienced by North American Class 5 to 8 is reflected in the latest figures
which show a near 60 per cent drop on year-by-year basis.
Class
8 net orders in July fell 20 per cent month-over-month, but contracted nearly
58 per cent on a year-over-year basis, to a total of 10,358 units.
Medium duty net orders totaled 15,364
units, rising 1 per cent month-on-month and year-on-year. These results were published
in the latest State of the Industry report, recently released by ACT Research
Co. (ACT). The report covers Classes 5 through to Class 8 vehicles for the North
American market.
As if he did not have enough troubles
on his plate rationalising Navistar International Corporation into a leaner,
fitter business, chief executive officer Troy Clarke also has to contend with market fluctuations. Charged with turning the company round, Clarke has found the
swings and roundabouts of the North American truck market a burden he could
well live without.
“Outside of the bright spot that
continues to be demand for vehicles in Mexico, July’s batch of Class 8 market
indicators provided no sign of near-term relief. The US and Canadian tractor
(especially sleeper) markets remain over-capacitized,” said Kenny Vieth,
president and senior analyst at ACT.
“Historically, July is the worst order
month of the year. To improve interpretation, ACT seasonally adjusts its data.
July’s 10,400 Class 8 net orders (124,000 SAAR) seasonally adjusts to 12,000
units (142,000 SAAR). Actual or adjusted, we have to go back to Q1 2010 to find
comparably weak volumes,” Vieth added.
Vieth said that steady-as-she-goes
sentiment remains in place for medium-duty vehicle markets.
He explained, “After an eight-month run
in which Classes 5-7 orders averaged 21,300 units a month, driven in part by
new product introductions, orders have cooled. In July, total Classes 5-7 net
orders rose 1 per cent month-on-month and year-on-year to 15,364 units, with
seasonal adjustment boosting the total to 18.200 units.”
Meanwhile, on 7 June, Navistar’s Troy
Clarke was able to announce a second quarter 2016 net income of $4 million, compared to a second
quarter 2015 net loss of $64 million.
Revenues in the quarter were $2.2 billion, down 18 per cent
compared to $2.7 billion in the second quarter last year. The
decline reflected lower volumes in the company's core US and Canadian markets,
due to softer industry conditions and the discontinuation of the company's Blue
Diamond Truck (BDT) joint venture in mid-2015.
Navistar also experienced lower engine
volumes in Brazil,
due to ongoing weak economic conditions in that country. This was partially
offset by higher sales in the company's parts segment.
On a brighter note, Clarke would be
able to find some solace in some other financial figures. Navistar ended the
second quarter with $817 million in consolidated
cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities and $732 million in
manufacturing cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities. There’s nothing
quite like cash for bolstering the mind.
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